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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$443,082 Vol.Nov 3, 2026PolyBet
California
$18,114 Vol.
89%
1%
Texas
$21,750 Vol.
88%
North Carolina
$15,661 Vol.
89%
Ohio
$8,323 Vol.
88%
Utah
$96,701 Vol.
86%
Florida
$7,350 Vol.
90%
Louisiana
$24,080 Vol.
88%
1%
Missouri
$15,936 Vol.
2%
1%
Virginia
$12,791 Vol.
3%
2%
Alabama
$20,208 Vol.
48%
3%
South Carolina
$29,403 Vol.
3%
Georgia
$9,058 Vol.
3%
Kansas
$9,137 Vol.
2%
New Jersey
$6,479 Vol.
3%
Indiana
$36,059 Vol.
2%
Washington
$11,902 Vol.
3%
Nebraska
$7,855 Vol.
3%
1%
Illinois
$12,277 Vol.
2%
Minnesota
$16,966 Vol.
2%
New York
$22,239 Vol.
4%
Maryland
$16,560 Vol.
2%
Wisconsin
$24,234 Vol.
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
-... This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
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