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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Politics Vol. $69,308 50 traders

J.D. Vance90%
Pete Buttigieg86%
Ted Cruz85%
Gavin Newsom82%
$69,308 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

71
Chance
Gavin Newsom
75% ▲ 1
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
54% ▲ 3
Pete Buttigieg
78% ▲ 1
Josh Shapiro
58% ▼ 2
Wes Moore
57% ▲ 1
Stephen A. Smith
17%
Kamala Harris
65% ▼ 1
Gretchen Whitmer
35% ▲ 1
Andy Beshear
71%
Jon Ossoff
58% ▲ 1
Mark Cuban
17%
J.B. Pritzker
60% ▲ 1
Raphael Warnock
32%
Cory Booker
60%
Tim Walz
9%
Michelle Obama
15%
Mark Kelly
58%
Rahm Emanuel
67% ▼ 1
Gina Raimondo
19%
Zohran Mamdani
10%
Roy Cooper
13%
John Fetterman
23% ▲ 1
Jared Polis
33%
Jon Stewart
16%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
14% ▲ 1
Phil Murphy
20%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
34%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
10%
MrBeast
8%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
15%
Oprah Winfrey
12% ▲ 1
Andrew Yang
63% ▼ 6
Beto O’Rourke
25% ▲ 1
Kim Kardashian
12%
Donald Trump
11% ▲ 1
J.D. Vance
82%
Marco Rubio
32%
Tulsi Gabbard
17%
Glenn Youngkin
30% ▲ 2
Donald Trump Jr.
16% ▼ 1
Ron DeSantis
72% ▼ 1
Nikki Haley
33% ▼ 3
Vivek Ramaswamy
18%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
44% ▼ 3
Greg Abbott
20% ▼ 1
Brian Kemp
22% ▼ 1
Byron Donalds
21% ▲ 1
Elise Stefanik
27%
Josh Hawley
41% ▼ 10
Ted Cruz
77% ▼ 3
Elon Musk
18%
Matt Gaetz
45% ▼ 4
Katie Britt
20%
John Thune
14% ▼ 1
Kristi Noem
27% ▲ 1
Mike Pence
16%
Tucker Carlson
23%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
14%
Ivanka Trump
25%
Tom Brady
13% ▼ 1
Rand Paul
33%
Steve Bannon
17%
Erika Kirk
7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
26% ▼ 1
Don Lemon
25%
Candace Owens
46% ▲ 2

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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