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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $205,329 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …66%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …31%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…1%
$205,329 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$63,530 Vol.
60% 1%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$52,414 Vol.
28% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$33,938 Vol.
1% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$55,447 Vol.
1%

Rules

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET