Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Politics Vol. $39,172,265 783 traders

Recent trades

25

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 1m ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 2m ago
• 0xfd65…7179 BUY Yes $3.90 3m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 5m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 5m ago
• 0xa3af…b7a6 SELL No $7.69 7m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 9m ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 9m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 SELL No $4.98 9m ago
• 0xe29f…e326 BUY No $4.99 10m ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 12m ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 12m ago
• 0x7c0f…9f39 SELL Yes $228.00 13m ago
• 0xa3af…b7a6 BUY No $8.66 2h ago
• 0xd390…89ae SELL No $4.98 2h ago
• 0xd390…89ae BUY No $4.99 2h ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 2h ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 BUY No $4.99 2h ago
• 0x9710…2672 BUY No $11.00 2h ago
• 0x58a1…e37c BUY No $14.00 2h ago
• 0x7fd8…3d43 SELL No $599.38 2h ago
• 0x734c…1d86 BUY Yes $10.00 2h ago
• 0x1316…b090 SELL No $4.98 2h ago
• 0x1316…b090 BUY No $4.99 2h ago
• 0x7b52…06a1 SELL No $4.98 2h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

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0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317 May 7

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