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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

China Vol. $2,220,814 50 traders

Yes13%
No88%
$2,220,814 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
11% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xf3ca…60ae SELL Yes $214.50 16m ago
  • 0xf3ca…60ae SELL Yes $13.00 16m ago
  • 0x87fa…7464 SELL No $2802.69 2h ago
  • 0xa4c3…bbb2 BUY No $98.00 4h ago
  • 0xfd77…bc1e SELL Yes $4.29 4h ago
  • 0x3529…a5f8 SELL Yes $678.66 8h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY Yes $1.02 8h ago
  • 0x857d…f526 BUY Yes $11.20 8h ago
  • 0x6bc7…4ad4 BUY Yes $83.00 8h ago
  • 0xd2cf…71d8 SELL Yes $6.21 8h ago
  • 0x36b6…38a3 BUY No $4.41 11h ago
  • 0xd286…d55d BUY No $2.16 12h ago
  • 0xb4ee…cc59 BUY No $880.00 13h ago
  • 0xd286…d55d BUY No $3.00 15h ago
  • 0x88a7…1198 BUY No $7.04 19h ago
  • 0x88a7…1198 BUY No $7.04 19h ago
  • 0x0275…b936 SELL Yes $3.60 23h ago
  • 0x9f82…ae94 BUY Yes $940.04 Jul 27
  • 0x232a…4895 SELL Yes $0.87 Jul 27
  • 0x232a…4895 SELL No $4.72 Jul 27
  • 0x87fa…7464 SELL No $1760.00 Jul 27
  • 0x6a5f…52d9 SELL No $4.83 Jul 26
  • 0x97f8…286d BUY No $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0xd08a…cb79 BUY No $1.00 Jul 26
  • 0x4fc1…ec92 SELL No $299.18 Jul 26

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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