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Iran leadership change by...?

Politics Vol. $21,656,094 433 traders

June 30, 202731%
December 3122%
September 309%
August 313%
$21,656,094 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

10
Chance
September 30
8% ▼ 1
July 31
1%
June 30, 2027
28% ▲ 1
August 31
3% ▼ 1
March 13 Resolved
1%
March 31 Resolved
1%
April 30 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
December 31
20%
May 31 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
June 30 Resolved
1%

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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