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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran Vol. $9,979,510 199 traders

July 25100%
July 3195%
July 26100%
July 22100%
$9,979,510 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

16
Chance
July 18 Resolved
90%
July 20 Resolved
90%
July 22 Resolved
90%
July 25
90%
July 31
86% ▲ 8
August 15
67% ▲ 8
August 31
54% ▲ 5
July 23 Resolved
90%
July 24 Resolved
90%
July 26
90%
July 27
90% ▲ 1
July 28
90% ▲ 2
July 29
89% ▲ 2
July 30
88% ▲ 6
August 9
76%
August 2
83%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6b31…5b6f BUY Yes $1.70 3m ago
  • 0xef2e…3bd1 BUY Yes $4.00 18m ago
  • 0x3e56…35d5 SELL Yes $3.29 24m ago
  • 0x66a1…80d9 BUY No $12.00 27m ago
  • 0x272c…7f07 BUY No $7.43 29m ago
  • 0x80e6…607a BUY Yes $2.00 29m ago
  • 0xa703…6a73 BUY Yes $440.00 30m ago
  • 0x3387…c3f7 BUY Yes $95.00 32m ago
  • 0x93a9…0b88 BUY No $52.44 32m ago
  • 0x3068…083d SELL Yes $376.88 34m ago
  • 0x9e3e…f882 SELL Yes $2.38 40m ago
  • 0x3068…083d SELL Yes $502.51 43m ago
  • 0x272c…7f07 BUY No $5.00 43m ago
  • 0xa801…7310 SELL No $2.24 47m ago
  • 0x92f0…0451 SELL Yes $299.70 54m ago
  • 0x0e25…7db4 SELL Yes $5.03 59m ago
  • 0x16b7…732f BUY No $40.00 1h ago
  • 0x80e6…607a BUY Yes $2.00 1h ago
  • 0x16b7…732f SELL No $0.59 1h ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL Yes $13.91 1h ago
  • 0x4281…1a5a SELL No $16.00 1h ago
  • 0xd5be…0e42 SELL Yes $13.92 1h ago
  • 0xdbdb…b241 SELL Yes $4.93 1h ago
  • 0x2a01…6397 SELL Yes $228.27 1h ago
  • 0x44ca…907c SELL Yes $113.25 1h ago
  • 0xd673…2305 SELL Yes $113.25 1h ago
  • 0x73e9…57f2 SELL No $3.47 1h ago
  • 0x9fc2…4fc4 SELL Yes $44.24 2h ago
  • 0x0e25…7db4 SELL No $0.43 2h ago
  • 0xdfb7…fad0 SELL Yes $4.70 2h ago
  • 0xdfb7…fad0 BUY Yes $4.80 2h ago
  • 0xdfb7…fad0 SELL Yes $4.70 2h ago
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $3.76 3h ago
  • 0x05ab…8145 SELL No $2.80 3h ago
  • 0x75dc…698e BUY Yes $1.25 3h ago
  • 0x5dc2…4837 SELL Yes $590.86 3h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $563.52 3h ago
  • 0x63e3…f341 BUY No $800.00 3h ago
  • 0xaa6f…1dfe BUY No $182.00 3h ago
  • 0x05ab…8145 BUY No $131.42 4h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST. A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Israel or Iran do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. A military action will be considered to impact Israel or Iran if it directly impacts the terrestrial territory of Israel or Iran, including any internal waters. Maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of the relevant state as of market creation will qualify. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (IRST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Israel and Iran and credible reporting.

Comments

0x802c27294BEd202eac837F7efA86E57116016120-1771513436209 Jul 26

😔

yungsoleimani Jul 26

does anyone have any tips for measuring circumference like im hard right but when i start grabbing the ruler taper and everything and wrap it around its not full hard anymore

siick Jul 27

measure with a piece of string and then measure the length of string with the ruler or tape measure

yungsoleimani 12h ago

ok will try thanks for the advice

yungsoleimani Jul 26

someone fill 87c july 31 plz

gr28 Jul 27

I got you, added 23 bucks🫡

yungsoleimani 14h ago

goat

lulu52500 Jul 26

to to to

BigRabbit Jul 25

Add Aug 2 and Aug 9

yungsoleimani Jul 26

hi bigrabbit big fan man

BigRabbit Jul 26

we're all living in yungsoleimani's world, I'm just happy to be a part of it

adasol Jul 25

Iran draws up new target list inside Israel in case of new strikes Iran has drawn up a new list of targets inside Israel in the event of any Israeli attacks, an Iranian security source tells Al Jazeera.

yungsoleimani Jul 25

💀💀

Pinups 15h ago

Al Jazeera can go f themselves.

BlackHebrewIsraeli Jul 25

Trump screwd us last night

Lowtaperfade Jul 25

give up my friend, you won't be profitable.

Lowtaperfade Jul 25

Forgot how easy making money here is

ArieLethal Jul 25

They work on us with their eyes.

yungsoleimani Jul 24

ofc when I tell aenews that hes eating his parent poo for dinner I will not join

alex77787 Jul 24

koskesh khafe sho abero irania ro nabar

yungsoleimani Jul 24

you just a little kid man

alex77787 Jul 25

🤡🤡

BrightStars Jul 25

PAY RESPECT TO THE KING

BrightStars Jul 25

APOLOGIZE NOW

alex77787 Jul 25

i am the king you should respect to me

yungsoleimani Jul 26

no one knows u bro😭

yungsoleimani Jul 24

Poopy pants

yungsoleimani Jul 24

All the money will be cejqq’s

yungsoleimani Jul 24

Yopp

amirsafar Jul 24

hello guys im from iran, buy yes 31 july! free mony eazy, nothing from israel for now

ArieLethal Jul 24

No

iNeedMoreDollars Jul 24

netenyahu monday trip is a distraction they are going in tonight

0x77Fa7e303F7a8017016A8388EF7ebA40a4a31A63-1764354685885 Jul 24

BIG: The US Embassy in Jerusalem issued a security alert warning Americans in Israel of "potential for unforeseen escalation". Citizens are told to prepare for flight cancellations, airspace closures, and travel disruptions; know their nearest shelter.

Polo9991 Jul 24

Tonight ?

HeDidWearASuit Jul 24

right tonight

Polo9991 Jul 24

You put 4K on yes 25

FarseerProphecies Jul 24

It's IRST not ET, you've got less than five hours left for July 24th to resolve as yes

Car Jul 24

netanyahu going to US Monday.

alex77787 Jul 24

no war will happen until july 28th

gustavchik88891 Jul 24

what you think will happend?

0x6D48beCBF89302A90aA85c219e47D240924fAe38-1771873770857 Jul 24

Why?

Namast3 Jul 24

This will end and start again later

Voidofhype Jul 24

Tehran is being bombed right now. It's gotta be the israelis

Runefang Jul 24

I’m in Israel and I hear fighter jets haven’t heard in a while

ArieLethal Jul 24

I am also from Israel and I heard

Dave1231 Jul 23

It’s for this weekend

ArieLethal Jul 23

Today is the day

ArieLethal Jul 23

Today is the day🤌🤫

nosaben26 Jul 23

yesterday? Xq

0x6E598171FAB193DdCDb311C549f8335cb1CbfaAE-1769863000756 Jul 23

insider on 25 ?

0x50C860e03DAA799003e51983Eb1d35Ea3e640Bc4-1779295765188 Jul 23

sus high vol there...

0xb8B438f0702d8BaB9E6B7D8A5a7c25ac0FFAB68e-1778799969965 Jul 23

22, 25 and 31st have been open way longer thats why

0x50C860e03DAA799003e51983Eb1d35Ea3e640Bc4-1779295765188 Jul 24

Thank you for clarification :)

Yitzhakz Jul 23

Whay this not resolved yet?!! 22 of July passed already, what is going on

mrDonkey. Jul 23

10:29 PM in Tel Aviv,

dfupagain Jul 23

Read the rules carefully. There will be no resolution for 3 days after the end date.

0x827A729c9238D25dbc289D3cCE9222237921A477-1776075708759 Jul 23

France also evacuated its staff from the embassy in Tehran

0xd65c9B6334f7E7B2f08f58e0722Cc23C37E529aa-1769532406918 Jul 23

bomb shelters are opening all around israel

TheJewishHammer Jul 23

Not all around, and not idf request.

nosaben26 Jul 23

Faker