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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
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None
$95,099 Vol.
22%
1%
IA
$628,721 Vol.
12%
7%
IA, KS
$754,571 Vol.
12%
4%
KS
$14,087 Vol.
4%
2%
IA, KS, ME
$18,860 Vol.
3%
IA, KS, TX
$8,109 Vol.
2%
1%
IA, KS, ME, TX
$8,837 Vol.
2%
1%
All 7
$51,442 Vol.
2%
3%
AK, IA, KS, ME, TX
$13,938 Vol.
2%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$9,027 Vol.
2%
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, TX
$15,233 Vol.
2%
1%
IA, ME
$17,620 Vol.
2%
AK, IA, KS
$6,181 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, KS, MI
$15,743 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH
$7,547 Vol.
1%
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME
$6,381 Vol.
1%
1%
ME
$7,937 Vol.
1%
1%
KS, ME
$7,056 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, TX
$7,269 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$4,864 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, TX
$9,664 Vol.
1%
1%
AK
$6,003 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,761 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$3,219 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$4,889 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$6,376 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$3,594 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, MI
$4,831 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, ME, OH
$2,798 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, OH
$3,228 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI, TX
$2,427 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, OH, TX
$3,845 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, OH
$3,481 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI, TX
$2,490 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, OH, TX
$7,761 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, MI, OH, TX
$3,447 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, OH
$3,492 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI, TX
$3,561 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, OH, TX
$9,446 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, MI, OH, TX
$3,856 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, MI, OH, TX
$4,038 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI, OH
$2,173 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH, TX
$12,277 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,812 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, MI, OH, TX
$3,223 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, MI, OH, TX
$7,624 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, MI
$2,412 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, KS, OH
$6,448 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, MI
$3,255 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, OH
$3,141 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME, TX
$3,654 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, MI, OH
$8,163 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, MI, TX
$2,909 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, OH, TX
$3,690 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, MI
$6,719 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, OH
$2,985 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, ME, TX
$3,578 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, MI, OH
$2,790 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, MI, TX
$3,362 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, OH, TX
$3,106 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, MI, OH
$5,190 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, MI, TX
$5,199 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, OH, TX
$4,953 Vol.
1%
AK, MI, OH, TX
$2,632 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, MI
$1,880 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, ME, OH
$10,503 Vol.
1%
1%
IA, KS, MI, OH
$2,679 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, MI, TX
$2,826 Vol.
1%
IA, KS, OH, TX
$5,267 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, MI, OH
$3,573 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, MI, TX
$8,172 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, OH, TX
$6,612 Vol.
1%
IA, MI, OH, TX
$3,276 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, MI, OH
$3,202 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, MI, TX
$2,795 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, OH, TX
$5,572 Vol.
1%
KS, MI, OH, TX
$2,965 Vol.
1%
ME, MI, OH, TX
$3,047 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, ME
$2,775 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, MI
$3,736 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, OH
$3,235 Vol.
1%
AK, IA, TX
$3,646 Vol.
1%
1%
AK, KS, ME
$2,970 Vol.
1%
3%
AK, KS, MI
$3,872 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, OH
$3,695 Vol.
1%
AK, KS, TX
$3,107 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, MI
$2,866 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, OH
$3,624 Vol.
1%
AK, ME, TX
$3,232 Vol.
1%
AK, MI, OH
$2,945 Vol.
1%
AK, MI, TX
$2,985 Vol.
1%
AK, OH, TX
$3,282 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, MI
$3,205 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, OH
$3,209 Vol.
1%
IA, ME, TX
$3,477 Vol.
1%
IA, MI, OH
$3,306 Vol.
1%
IA, MI, TX
$4,263 Vol.
1%
IA, OH, TX
$2,539 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, MI
$3,069 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, OH
$1,874 Vol.
1%
KS, ME, TX
$3,702 Vol.
1%
KS, MI, OH
$4,315 Vol.
1%
KS, MI, TX
$3,024 Vol.
1%
KS, OH, TX
$3,355 Vol.
1%
ME, MI, OH
$3,470 Vol.
1%
ME, MI, TX
$5,258 Vol.
1%
ME, OH, TX
$1,823 Vol.
1%
MI, OH, TX
$4,137 Vol.
1%
AK, IA
$4,062 Vol.
1%
AK, KS
$2,904 Vol.
1%
AK, ME
$2,576 Vol.
1%
AK, MI
$1,629 Vol.
1%
AK, OH
$2,532 Vol.
1%
AK, TX
$3,827 Vol.
1%
IA, MI
$14,112 Vol.
1%
IA, OH
$6,354 Vol.
1%
KS, MI
$2,778 Vol.
1%
KS, OH
$2,520 Vol.
1%
KS, TX
$9,947 Vol.
1%
ME, MI
$1,728 Vol.
1%
ME, OH
$3,184 Vol.
1%
ME, TX
$6,896 Vol.
1%
MI, OH
$3,202 Vol.
1%
MI, TX
$6,695 Vol.
1%
OH, TX
$6,262 Vol.
1%
MI
$6,511 Vol.
1%
OH
$5,958 Vol.
1%
1%
TX
$8,844 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A s... This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 26, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
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