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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Military Strikes Vol. $48,751,489 975 traders

Yes22%
No79%
$48,751,489 Vol. Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
18% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x459f…e250 SELL Yes $3.15 10m ago
  • 0xc044…0242 SELL No $0.07 29m ago
  • 0x6640…3125 BUY No $50.00 29m ago
  • 0xc044…0242 SELL No $0.09 34m ago
  • 0x9715…7c96 BUY No $66.00 34m ago
  • 0x0275…b936 SELL Yes $3.30 42m ago
  • 0x3d41…e936 SELL No $0.98 53m ago
  • 0x3d41…e936 BUY No $1.00 53m ago
  • 0xc044…0242 SELL No $0.07 55m ago
  • 0x942d…1c9c BUY No $50.00 55m ago
  • 0xe472…23a7 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xda6f…ea84 SELL Yes $1.05 1h ago
  • 0x4a18…73b2 SELL No $3.88 1h ago
  • 0xdb04…4881 BUY Yes $29.80 1h ago
  • 0x85dc…0889 BUY No $1.00 2h ago
  • 0xc044…0242 SELL No $0.05 2h ago
  • 0xb17d…59ae BUY No $39.50 2h ago
  • 0xb9c4…4f2e BUY No $7.90 2h ago
  • 0xf22e…18f2 SELL No $13.14 2h ago
  • 0xc044…0242 SELL No $0.38 2h ago
  • 0x76ce…f48b SELL Yes $69.93 2h ago
  • 0xf22e…18f2 SELL No $4.73 2h ago
  • 0xc044…0242 SELL No $0.13 2h ago
  • 0x76ce…f48b SELL Yes $25.20 2h ago
  • 0x44b7…2e99 SELL No $10.67 2h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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