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Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Economy Vol. $166,540 50 traders

25 bps decrease87%
No Change11%
50+ bps decrease0%
50+ bps increase1%
$166,540 Vol. Economy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps increase
1%
No Change
11% ▼ 5
25 bps decrease
79% ▲ 6
50+ bps decrease
1% ▼ 2

Recent trades

40
  • 0x0ef9…8f58 BUY Yes $17.88 18m ago
  • 0x56f3…85fc SELL Yes $1.23 8h ago
  • 0x56f3…85fc SELL Yes $41.28 8h ago
  • 0x56f3…85fc BUY Yes $41.76 8h ago
  • 0x56f3…85fc BUY Yes $1.24 8h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $44.55 9h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $3.41 9h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $10.44 9h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $0.67 9h ago
  • 0x32fd…5c8b BUY No $167.44 9h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $95.69 9h ago
  • 0x32fd…5c8b SELL No $219.55 9h ago
  • 0x0beb…4503 BUY No $4.69 10h ago
  • 0x4d1d…01ac BUY No $7.14 10h ago
  • 0xe6ca…f596 SELL Yes $0.69 11h ago
  • 0xb7d5…0789 SELL No $5.22 11h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $2.86 12h ago
  • 0xeda0…7dff SELL Yes $2.86 12h ago
  • 0x229a…3c6d BUY Yes $200.00 13h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $5.99 13h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $5.24 13h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $7.44 13h ago
  • 0x9065…f13a BUY No $50.00 15h ago
  • 0x0977…53cc BUY No $3.85 16h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.94 16h ago
  • 0x0da2…ef4a BUY Yes $2.76 16h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $2.80 16h ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $19.94 16h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $0.01 16h ago
  • 0x4d1d…01ac BUY No $14.56 17h ago
  • 0x4e9e…6f3e SELL Yes $9.01 18h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $13.46 18h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.84 18h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $13.48 18h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $39.92 18h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $11.60 18h ago
  • 0x82ca…44c8 SELL No $36.71 18h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $13.48 18h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $39.92 18h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $34.36 18h ago

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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