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Which company has best AI model end of July?

Tech Vol. $7,981,725 159 traders

Anthropic99%
OpenAI0%
Google0%
xAI0%
$7,981,725 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
1%
Anthropic
90%
OpenAI
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
xAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
Amazon
1%
Baidu
1%
ByteDance
1%
Company A
1%
Company B
1%
Company C
1%
Company D
1%
Company E
1%
Company F
1%
Company G
1%
Company H
1%
Company I
1%
Company K
1%
Other
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x7223…52a9 SELL Yes $11.41 5m ago
  • 0x1c1b…4f47 BUY Yes $21.00 12m ago
  • 0x812e…368c BUY Yes $11.20 21m ago
  • 0x59df…84b9 BUY No $14.60 22m ago
  • 0x87c6…2d7a BUY No $13.00 22m ago
  • 0x7b87…d204 BUY No $12.50 22m ago
  • 0x7a2d…e427 BUY No $14.30 23m ago
  • 0x4bd7…2735 BUY No $12.70 23m ago
  • 0x1150…28d3 BUY No $14.10 1h ago
  • 0xcf61…1c6a BUY No $13.40 1h ago
  • 0x008f…0ea5 BUY No $13.70 1h ago
  • 0x2157…f8c8 BUY No $13.00 1h ago
  • 0x42d7…1d78 BUY No $13.00 1h ago
  • 0xe6ae…eab5 BUY No $10.10 1h ago
  • 0x7d8a…13f6 BUY No $13.70 1h ago
  • 0x3375…c674 BUY No $13.90 1h ago
  • 0xdce0…ef46 BUY No $12.60 1h ago
  • 0x0c8c…c521 BUY Yes $1.40 1h ago
  • 0x3961…7cb1 BUY No $30.00 1h ago
  • 0x3961…7cb1 BUY Yes $15.00 1h ago
  • 0x3e9e…3b19 SELL Yes $237.17 2h ago
  • 0x49d1…2613 SELL Yes $20.43 2h ago
  • 0xa32b…e0de SELL Yes $49.86 2h ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL No $2.25 2h ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 BUY No $6.16 2h ago
  • 0x90d4…c7c8 SELL No $1.02 2h ago
  • 0xf5bc…ebf7 BUY Yes $7309.08 2h ago
  • 0x01d0…48f2 BUY No $1.20 2h ago
  • 0xfa48…6767 BUY No $58.00 2h ago
  • 0x0ae3…8269 SELL No $19.98 2h ago
  • 0x1a51…c168 SELL Yes $13.67 2h ago
  • 0x9710…2672 BUY No $11.00 2h ago
  • 0x8933…6f13 SELL No $13.01 2h ago
  • 0x24df…5849 BUY No $22.00 2h ago
  • 0x5f51…5788 BUY No $1.40 2h ago
  • 0x5fe8…7648 BUY No $1.40 2h ago
  • 0x1cca…0f30 BUY No $1.10 3h ago
  • 0x3248…d8f4 BUY Yes $1.40 3h ago
  • 0x5687…938d BUY Yes $200.00 3h ago
  • 0x58a8…d1af BUY No $2.20 3h ago

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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