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Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$1,739,948 Vol.Dec 31, 2026PolyBet
Pete Hegseth
$199,276 Vol.
39%
11%
Susie Wiles
$80,950 Vol.
35%
11%
Kristi Noem
$100,644 Vol.
24%
Markwayne Mullin
$3,240 Vol.
21%
1%
Stephen Miller
$18,313 Vol.
17%
4%
Kash Patel
$323,850 Vol.
16%
1%
Tom Homan
$2,387 Vol.
16%
6%
Howard Lutnick
$112,091 Vol.
15%
3%
Russell Vought
$1,236 Vol.
15%
2%
Marco Rubio
$173,015 Vol.
14%
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$99,988 Vol.
13%
6%
Lee Zeldin
$35,009 Vol.
11%
1%
John Ratcliffe
$805 Vol.
10%
1%
David Sacks
$10,411 Vol.
7%
1%
Dan Scavino
$1,784 Vol.
5%
23%
Scott Bessent
$21,612 Vol.
5%
1%
Karoline Leavitt
$77,116 Vol.
90%
80%
Tulsi Gabbard
$100,648 Vol.
90%
40%
Pam Bondi
$365,319 Vol.
90%
2%
Dan Bongino
$5,144 Vol.
90%
16%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$7,110 Vol.
90%
17%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Dona... This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
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