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US Election predictions & odds

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

84%

Yes84%No7%

Republican Party

7%

Yes7%No84%

$26M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep

60%

Yes60%No31%

R Senate, D House

24%

Yes24%No67%

$41M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

60%

Yes60%No30%

Republican Party

30%

Yes30%No60%

$10M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

17%

Yes17%No74%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Yes12%No79%

$721M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

36%

Yes36%No55%

Marco Rubio

16%

Yes16%No75%

$719M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

15%

Yes15%No76%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No76%

$1.3B Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass

50%

Yes50%No41%

Nithya Raman

41%

Yes41%No50%

$17M Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R)

68%

Yes68%No23%

Annie Andrews (D)

23%

Yes23%No68%

$1M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)

62%

Yes62%No29%

Ken Paxton (R)

29%

Yes29%No62%

$7M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra

88%

Yes88%No3%

Steve Hilton

3%

Yes3%No88%

$43M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

37%

Yes37%No54%

48

14%

Yes14%No77%

$4M Vol.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

None

20%

Yes20%No70%

IA, KS, ME, TX

10%

Yes10%No81%

$160K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola

64%

Yes64%No27%

Sen. Dan Sullivan

27%

Yes27%No64%

$2M Vol.

NC-09 House Election Winner

Richard Hudson (R)

62%

Yes62%No29%

Richard Ojeda (D)

29%

Yes29%No62%

$281K Vol.

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