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Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed Vol. $905,337 50 traders

Pause–Pause–Pause72%
Other27%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
Cut–Cut–Cut0%
$905,337 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

9
Chance
Cut–Pause–Pause Resolved
1% ▼ 1
Cut–Pause–Cut Resolved
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause Resolved
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut Resolved
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
66% ▼ 6
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Pause–Cut–Pause Resolved
1% ▼ 1
Pause–Cut–Cut Resolved
1%
Other
24% ▲ 8

Recent trades

40
  • 0x0278…bff4 BUY Yes $3.78 2m ago
  • 0x97a7…c015 BUY Yes $7.23 3h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 SELL No $1.22 3h ago
  • 0x4b18…927f BUY No $19.00 4h ago
  • 0x9c5e…4eab BUY No $24.30 5h ago
  • 0xe162…6607 BUY Yes $4.90 6h ago
  • 0xa86f…022c SELL Yes $24.57 8h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL Yes $4.43 9h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL Yes $36.31 9h ago
  • 0x2f49…71b2 SELL Yes $59.11 9h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $4.43 9h ago
  • 0x03d6…81c3 BUY Yes $14.47 12h ago
  • 0x03d6…81c3 BUY Yes $42.97 13h ago
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $19.91 13h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.25 14h ago
  • 0x5b63…11a4 SELL No $18.50 15h ago
  • 0x3d3a…53ff BUY Yes $5.00 15h ago
  • 0x832b…5c91 BUY Yes $99.15 16h ago
  • 0x4c7b…0f76 BUY Yes $8.00 19h ago
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY No $18.26 19h ago
  • 0x1d41…24d7 SELL Yes $58.00 19h ago
  • 0x27ac…7c29 BUY No $1.03 20h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL Yes $50.23 20h ago
  • 0x4f9e…9aa0 BUY Yes $1.59 20h ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $170.69 20h ago
  • 0x76db…6987 BUY Yes $381.00 20h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $3.81 20h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.04 20h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $4.99 Jul 27
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $29.91 Jul 27
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.97 Jul 26
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $4.99 Jul 26
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $78.35 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.88 Jul 26
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $5.98 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.88 Jul 26
  • 0xac64…866e BUY No $2.47 Jul 26
  • 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $37.41 Jul 26
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.97 Jul 26
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $49.85 Jul 26

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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