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Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed Vol. $626,895 50 traders

Other70%
Pause–Pause–Pause31%
Pause–Pause–Cut1%
Pause–Cut–Pause0%
$626,895 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

9
Chance
Cut–Pause–Pause Resolved
1% ▼ 1
Cut–Pause–Cut Resolved
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause Resolved
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut Resolved
1% ▼ 1
Pause–Pause–Pause
27% ▼ 14
Pause–Pause–Cut
1% ▼ 1
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
63% ▲ 15

Recent trades

40
  • 0xacf8…f5bb SELL Yes $15.00 3h ago
  • 0x65ce…fd65 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x46ee…eb1e BUY Yes $16.31 3h ago
  • 0xe797…8a2b SELL No $1.07 5h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $3.10 5h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $218.93 5h ago
  • 0xd245…2318 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $209.58 6h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.98 6h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $6.80 6h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $3.10 6h ago
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $33.30 6h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $43.85 6h ago
  • 0xb0fc…ce0b BUY Yes $332.10 6h ago
  • 0xd245…2318 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $1.59 6h ago
  • 0x0446…cc69 SELL Yes $0.06 6h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.97 6h ago
  • 0xfc92…27c9 BUY Yes $2.90 6h ago
  • 0xb0fc…ce0b BUY Yes $68.37 6h ago
  • 0x608f…9065 SELL Yes $12.50 6h ago
  • 0x299c…7e23 SELL Yes $22.85 6h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $2.27 7h ago
  • 0x9495…468f SELL Yes $1.08 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.30 7h ago
  • 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL Yes $0.15 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.30 7h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $3.08 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.30 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $1.30 7h ago
  • 0x9687…1b7c BUY Yes $0.03 7h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $7.05 7h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $16.79 7h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $42.60 7h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.95 7h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $22.89 7h ago
  • 0x508d…791a SELL Yes $19.66 7h ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

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