Sign Up
← Markets

Fed Decision in July?

Economic Policy Vol. $108,986,608 2179 traders

No change72%
25 bps increase27%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
$108,986,608 Vol. Economic Policy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
67% ▼ 6
25 bps increase
24% ▲ 7
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xec73…6af3 BUY Yes $3.00 17m ago
  • 0x33dc…bb81 SELL Yes $0.28 17m ago
  • 0xc484…aaa7 BUY No $9.77 18m ago
  • 0xf70c…cfdb BUY No $9.61 18m ago
  • 0x617f…89f4 BUY No $1.00 18m ago
  • 0x7f0c…f073 BUY No $140.00 18m ago
  • 0xded7…d983 BUY No $1.16 19m ago
  • 0xbacd…ab35 BUY No $1105.44 19m ago
  • 0x92ec…2a53 BUY Yes $467.67 20m ago
  • 0xbed7…2be0 BUY No $67.62 20m ago
  • 0x181c…60db SELL No $31.32 21m ago
  • 0x1987…6487 SELL No $19.90 21m ago
  • 0xf6dd…8bb5 SELL No $19.75 21m ago
  • 0x92ec…2a53 BUY Yes $10.00 21m ago
  • 0x58b3…653c SELL Yes $2.56 21m ago
  • 0x12dd…d701 BUY Yes $2.00 21m ago
  • 0xd4ab…8253 BUY Yes $111.84 21m ago
  • 0x58b3…653c SELL Yes $0.51 21m ago
  • 0x181c…60db SELL No $31.35 22m ago
  • 0x7ecc…6c37 BUY No $234.63 22m ago
  • 0xf6dd…8bb5 SELL No $19.79 22m ago
  • 0x3d61…6c1f SELL No $19.33 22m ago
  • 0x87c9…f0d2 BUY No $2.00 22m ago
  • 0x12dd…d701 BUY Yes $5.00 22m ago
  • 0x0110…af5d BUY Yes $3.69 23m ago
  • 0x518d…65dd BUY No $9.52 23m ago
  • 0x0110…af5d BUY Yes $14.76 23m ago
  • 0xc035…ec07 BUY Yes $295.00 23m ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $4.64 23m ago
  • 0xc9db…de92 BUY Yes $1.00 24m ago
  • 0x7ecc…6c37 BUY No $993.33 25m ago
  • 0xe1b5…20ac BUY No $26.01 25m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $65.14 25m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $48.17 25m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $20.01 25m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $20.01 25m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $65.14 25m ago
  • 0x0e2c…9294 BUY Yes $48.06 25m ago
  • 0xca23…f403 BUY Yes $48.12 25m ago
  • 0xd32c…a4c2 BUY No $14.71 25m ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Comments