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Fed Decision in October?

Fed Vol. $358,267 50 traders

50+ bps decrease2%
25 bps decrease10%
25 bps increase25%
No change61%
$358,267 Vol. Fed

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
9%
No change
55% ▲ 1
25 bps increase
22% ▲ 1
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3f63…0a71 SELL No $4.61 6m ago
  • 0x036a…4c9a BUY Yes $50.00 1h ago
  • 0xa1bd…880b BUY Yes $1.25 1h ago
  • 0x3f63…0a71 BUY No $4.62 6h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $486.75 6h ago
  • 0x30e4…5102 SELL No $1153.61 6h ago
  • 0x30e4…5102 SELL Yes $1462.76 6h ago
  • 0x2aae…a80c SELL No $6.08 8h ago
  • 0xa9a5…2756 BUY Yes $4.43 9h ago
  • 0xb87f…f7d4 SELL Yes $2.96 10h ago
  • 0x0711…f03c SELL Yes $3.70 10h ago
  • 0x40fe…3bfd BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x40fe…3bfd BUY Yes $2.00 13h ago
  • 0x40fe…3bfd BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $9.52 13h ago
  • 0x0218…41ae BUY Yes $20.00 14h ago
  • 0xc0cc…78a9 BUY Yes $1.00 16h ago
  • 0x46b1…428c BUY Yes $4.99 16h ago
  • 0x2c7c…6a6d BUY Yes $1.94 17h ago
  • 0x97ab…2e6a BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x572c…4360 SELL Yes $1.61 18h ago
  • 0x8152…bfda BUY Yes $1220.00 18h ago
  • 0x8152…bfda BUY Yes $68.48 18h ago
  • 0xf4d3…7471 SELL Yes $21.04 19h ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $9.52 20h ago
  • 0x3de2…66b8 SELL Yes $11.01 21h ago
  • 0x8332…2bf0 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x8332…2bf0 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x799d…9776 BUY Yes $45.07 Jul 27
  • 0x3150…3be9 SELL No $125.04 Jul 27
  • 0x1fa7…ae26 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xf035…052a SELL Yes $23.20 Jul 27
  • 0xf035…052a SELL No $40.00 Jul 27
  • 0x7a09…8cdb SELL Yes $0.23 Jul 27
  • 0xd8c1…16c0 BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 27
  • 0x0781…c4ff SELL Yes $179.95 Jul 26
  • 0x32fd…5c8b SELL Yes $26.55 Jul 26
  • 0x572c…4360 SELL Yes $0.19 Jul 26
  • 0x974a…8efd BUY Yes $3.75 Jul 26
  • 0x974a…8efd BUY Yes $14.06 Jul 26

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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