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Fed Decision in September?

fomc Vol. $4,507,213 90 traders

25 bps decrease4%
25 bps increase56%
No change35%
50+ bps decrease2%
$4,507,213 Vol. fomc

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
3%
No change
32% ▼ 8
25 bps increase
50% ▲ 6
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x057b…0d86 BUY Yes $1.40 9m ago
  • 0x4216…9bd2 BUY No $2.00 1h ago
  • 0xca33…09f3 BUY No $4.92 1h ago
  • 0x450e…4fdd SELL Yes $13.47 1h ago
  • 0x036a…4c9a BUY Yes $100.00 1h ago
  • 0xe807…4d35 BUY Yes $3.50 1h ago
  • 0x9298…8628 BUY Yes $1.12 1h ago
  • 0xa3af…b7a6 BUY No $4.91 2h ago
  • 0x5fe5…85f3 BUY Yes $1.12 2h ago
  • 0x3242…e196 BUY Yes $1.80 2h ago
  • 0x90bf…99eb BUY No $1.80 2h ago
  • 0x168b…1319 BUY No $1.40 2h ago
  • 0x450e…4fdd SELL Yes $1.70 2h ago
  • 0x4c30…9069 BUY Yes $10.00 3h ago
  • 0x026d…40cf BUY No $1.40 3h ago
  • 0xfcb6…633f BUY No $1.80 3h ago
  • 0x34db…2e01 SELL Yes $48.95 3h ago
  • 0x90bf…99eb BUY No $1.80 3h ago
  • 0xdf46…6486 BUY Yes $0.74 3h ago
  • 0x9774…597f BUY No $3.30 3h ago
  • 0xbaff…dfd7 BUY Yes $2.80 3h ago
  • 0xe9cd…ed78 BUY Yes $2.80 3h ago
  • 0xb80a…1668 BUY No $2.25 3h ago
  • 0x39a5…87f2 BUY Yes $41.02 3h ago
  • 0x4a1e…5b16 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x39a5…87f2 BUY Yes $70.35 3h ago
  • 0x02bc…681b BUY Yes $5.25 3h ago
  • 0x5fe5…85f3 BUY Yes $1.12 3h ago
  • 0x39a5…87f2 BUY Yes $105.00 3h ago
  • 0x2a5f…6c92 BUY Yes $17.50 3h ago
  • 0x0668…a2ff BUY Yes $2.34 3h ago
  • 0x91dd…1906 BUY Yes $1.92 3h ago
  • 0x450e…4fdd BUY Yes $103.70 3h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $140.76 3h ago
  • 0xad8e…776e SELL Yes $1598.99 3h ago
  • 0xad8e…776e SELL Yes $567.30 3h ago
  • 0xa962…661e BUY Yes $8.02 3h ago
  • 0x0f29…c45a BUY Yes $1.70 3h ago
  • 0xdb61…6032 BUY Yes $15.49 3h ago
  • 0xdb61…6032 BUY Yes $9.50 3h ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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