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Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
$3,288,345 Vol.Jul 31, 2026PolyBet
Tucker Carlson
$766,688 Vol.
90%
Joe Biden
$22,094 Vol.
90%
1%
Barack Obama
$29,153 Vol.
90%
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$41,880 Vol.
90%
56%
Nicolás Maduro
$3,443 Vol.
90%
58%
Jimmy Kimmel
$58 Vol.
90%
49%
Kaitlan Collins
$6,401 Vol.
90%
28%
Megyn Kelly
$123 Vol.
1%
6%
Candace Owens
$292 Vol.
1%
7%
Alex Jones
$165 Vol.
1%
47%
Pope Leo XIV
$518 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Putin
$1,480,348 Vol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$415 Vol.
1%
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$4,493 Vol.
1%
1%
J.D. Vance
$834 Vol.
1%
1%
Melania Trump
$1,680 Vol.
1%
Xi Jinping
$7,140 Vol.
1%
1%
Keir Starmer
$818 Vol.
1%
8%
Viktor Orbán
$316 Vol.
1%
1%
Elon Musk
$690 Vol.
1%
4%
Jerome Powell
$1,081 Vol.
1%
2%
Zohran Mamdani
$10,877 Vol.
1%
37%
Emmanuel Macron
$878,075 Vol.
1%
Freidrich Merz
$22,389 Vol.
1%
4%
Norah O'Donnell
$123 Vol.
1%
7%
Mohammed bin Salman
$1,782 Vol.
1%
Kevin Warsh
$6,469 Vol.
1%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Nega... This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
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