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Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?
$714,059 Vol.May 30, 2026PolyBet
Tucker Carlson
$109,406 Vol.
90%
Candace Owens
$2,719 Vol.
90%
48%
Joe Biden
$37,911 Vol.
90%
2%
Barack Obama
$6,155 Vol.
90%
15%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$249,682 Vol.
90%
Jerome Powell
$3,622 Vol.
90%
7%
Nicolás Maduro
$133,753 Vol.
90%
4%
Jimmy Kimmel
$185 Vol.
90%
27%
Norah O'Donnell
$1,015 Vol.
90%
35%
Megyn Kelly
$11,344 Vol.
1%
2%
Alex Jones
$407 Vol.
1%
1%
Pope Leo XIV
$23,040 Vol.
1%
1%
Vladimir Putin
$6,667 Vol.
1%
1%
Pam Bondi
$2,802 Vol.
1%
1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$4,979 Vol.
1%
1%
J.D. Vance
$5,714 Vol.
1%
1%
Melania Trump
$5,696 Vol.
1%
Xi Jinping
$33,273 Vol.
1%
Keir Starmer
$47,464 Vol.
1%
22%
Viktor Orbán
$4,702 Vol.
1%
1%
Elon Musk
$4,066 Vol.
1%
1%
Zohran Mamdani
$4,357 Vol.
1%
1%
Emmanuel Macron
$1,475 Vol.
1%
1%
Freidrich Merz
$4,330 Vol.
1%
1%
Kaitlan Collins
$7,906 Vol.
1%
8%
Mohammed bin Salman
$1,390 Vol.
1%
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Nega... This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
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