Explore popular predictions &amp; real-time odds

$1276.1MVol. 7 nov United States

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 22% Yes No

Gavin Newsom 7% Yes No

$704.3MVol. 7 nov President

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump 2% Yes No

J.D. Vance 46% Yes No

$702.2MVol. 7 nov United States

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40% Yes No

30 more

$147.6MVol. 4 oct Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 32% Yes No

Jordan Bardella 2% Yes No

$131.1MVol. 30 apr French Election

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 1% Yes No

$115.8MVol. 16 sept fomc

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

April 30 1% Yes No

June 30 1% Yes No

4 more

$66.9MVol. 1 jan Aliens

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%

Chance

Yes13¢ No41¢

$65.4MVol. 1 jan Military Strikes

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 60,000 1% Yes No

↓ 60,000 90% Yes No

45 more

$65.1MVol. 1 jan Bitcoin

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 85% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 5% Yes No

11 more

$52.2MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Arizona Cardinals 1% Yes No

Atlanta Falcons 1% Yes No

31 more

$51.9MVol. 15 feb Sports

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 26% Yes No

Naftali Bennett 6% Yes No

$37.0MVol. 31 dec Main Election

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Kylian Mbappé 9% Yes No

Erling Haaland 1% Yes No

87 more

$34.6MVol. 31 oct Soccer

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain 11% Yes No

Aston Villa 1% Yes No

40 more

$31.4MVol. 31 may UCL

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 8 1% Yes No

May 31 1% Yes No

17 more

$30.1MVol. 1 oct Politics

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18 90% Yes No

July 20 90% Yes No

22 more

$29.6MVol. 31 dec Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

July 24 1% Yes No

July 31 1% Yes No

18 more

$27.5MVol. 1 jan Iran

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 72% Yes No

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1% Yes No

32 more

$26.8MVol. 20 sept Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

September 30 2% Yes No

July 31 1% Yes No

12 more

$25.2MVol. 1 jul Politics

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 1% Yes No

Carlos Alcaraz 1% Yes No

47 more

$24.5MVol. 13 sept US Open

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

July 31, 2026 1% Yes No

$23.5MVol. 1 jul Putin

NBA: 2027 Champion

Atlanta Hawks 1% Yes No

Boston Celtics 4% Yes No

34 more

$21.3MVol. 1 jul NBA Finals

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Chance

Yes2¢ No41¢

$18.2MVol. 1 jan Pandemics

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

16%

Chance

Yes16¢ No41¢

$15.0MVol. 1 jan Crypto

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↑ 3,000 45% Yes No

↑ 2,750 63% Yes No

28 more

$14.0MVol. 1 jan Ethereum

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

May 31 1% Yes No

June 30 1% Yes No

10 more

$12.8MVol. 1 jan Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 45% Yes No

D Senate, R House 1% Yes No

$11.5MVol. 3 nov United States

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

16%

Chance

Yes16¢ No41¢

$11.3MVol. 31 dec Politics

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

June 26 1% Yes No

July 3 1% Yes No

10 more

$11.1MVol. 1 apr Iran

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 50% Yes No

Iga Swiatek 1% Yes No

65 more

$11.0MVol. 13 sept US Open

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 79% Yes No

Republican Party 13% Yes No

7 more

$10.7MVol. 3 nov Parent For Derivative

Fed rate hike in 2026?

65%

Chance

Yes65¢ No41¢

$8.9MVol. 9 dec CPI Release

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢

$8.4MVol. 30 sept Oil

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 66% Yes No

Microsoft 1% Yes No

$7.1MVol. 31 dec Economy

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 23% Yes No

30 more

$6.9MVol. 4 oct Brazil

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson 17% Yes No

Magdalena Andersson 75% Yes No

34 more

$5.3MVol. 13 sept Elections

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↑ 100,000 2% Yes No

↑ 97,500 3% Yes No

$4.8MVol. 1 oct Bitcoin

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 19% Yes No

AfD 11% Yes No

22 more

$3.6MVol. 20 sept World Elections

Crude Oil all time high by...?

May 31 1% Yes No

June 30 1% Yes No

2 more

$3.6MVol. 1 jan Oil

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $150 1% Yes No

↑ $140 2% Yes No

$3.3MVol. 1 oct Finance

Fed rate hike by...?

April Meeting 1% Yes No

June Meeting 1% Yes No

$3.0MVol. 29 oct Fed

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

<20 1% Yes No

20-39 1% Yes No

$2.3MVol. 11 sept Culture

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢

$2.1MVol. 15 sept Oil

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

September 4 67% Yes No

September 11 68% Yes No

$2.0MVol. 1 oct Iran

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

↑ 4,000 1% Yes No

↑ 3,300 4% Yes No

$1.6MVol. 1 oct Ethereum

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 2% Yes No

$1.5MVol. 29 oct Fed

Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?

70,000 90% Yes No

72,000 90% Yes No

$1.5MVol. 11 sept Bitcoin

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 48% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 53% Yes No

$1.3MVol. 11 sept Esports

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

14%

Chance

Yes14¢ No41¢

$1.1MVol. 1 jan Politics

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

CDU 1% Yes No

AfD 73% Yes No

22 more

$1.0MVol. 20 sept World

What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?

↑ 94,000 1% Yes No

↑ 92,000 1% Yes No

15 more

$754.5KVol. 14 sept Crypto

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille

Stade Rennais FC 1901 44% Yes No

Draw (Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille) 22% Yes No

$677.9KVol. 11 sept Sports

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢

$672.0KVol. 21 sept Russia

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No

25 bps decrease 4% Yes No

$636.3KVol. 10 dec Fed

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 90% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 52% Yes No

59 more

$631.9KVol. 11 sept Esports

Trump out as President by September 30?

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢

$624.1KVol. 1 oct Trump

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Chance

Yes7¢ No41¢

$602.7KVol. 31 oct Oil

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

<280 2% Yes No

280–294 1% Yes No

5 more

$550.1KVol. 20 sept Russia Election

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Donald Trump 6% Yes No

Marco Rubio 6% Yes No

18 more

$527.3KVol. 1 jan Iran

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

<940m 1% Yes No

940 - 950m 31% Yes No

$523.3KVol. 1 oct Movies

Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?

<20 1% Yes No

20-39 1% Yes No

$466.5KVol. 15 sept Culture

Bank of Russia decision in September?

Decrease 18% Yes No

No Change 72% Yes No

$443.7KVol. 12 sept macro

Ethereum above ___ on September 11?

2,000 90% Yes No

2,100 90% Yes No

$337.0KVol. 11 sept Ethereum

Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 45% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 45% Yes No

11 more

$322.9KVol. 10 sept Esports

What price will Solana hit in September?

↑ 200 1% Yes No

↑ 190 1% Yes No

21 more

$313.1KVol. 1 oct Solana

Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Coventry City FC 21% Yes No

Draw (Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC) 23% Yes No

$268.5KVol. 13 sept Sports

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 90% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 59% Yes No

17 more

$252.9KVol. 11 sept Esports

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Game 1 Winner 44% Yes No

Game 2 Winner 44% Yes No

47 more

$222.3KVol. 12 sept Esports

What price will Ethereum hit September 7-13?

↑ 3,200 1% Yes No

↑ 3,100 1% Yes No

15 more

$195.1KVol. 14 sept Ethereum

"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office

<6m 85% Yes No

6-7m 2% Yes No

4 more

$191.5KVol. 13 sept Movies

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov 72% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$189.3KVol. 18 sept Tennis

Bills vs. Texans

Bills vs. Texans 48% Yes No

Spread -1.5 46% Yes No

377 more

$166.5KVol. 13 sept Sports

Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF

Sevilla FC 44% Yes No

Draw (Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF) 27% Yes No

$155.6KVol. 11 sept Sports

Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?

70,000 90% Yes No

72,000 90% Yes No

$154.7KVol. 12 sept Bitcoin

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 2026 43% Yes No

December 31, 2026 66% Yes No

$141.5KVol. 1 jan AI

San Diego State vs. UCLA

San Diego State vs. UCLA 18% Yes No

Spread -10.5 49% Yes No

119 more

$126.2KVol. 13 sept Sports

Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

<40 15% Yes No

40-64 58% Yes No

8 more

$123.2KVol. 12 sept Culture

Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol

Kyōto Sanga FC 19% Yes No

Draw (Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol) 21% Yes No

$123.0KVol. 11 sept Sports

Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona

Levante UD 4% Yes No

Draw (Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona) 9% Yes No

$119.7KVol. 13 sept Sports

Counter-Strike: paiN vs ShindeN (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 49% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 51% Yes No

6 more

$119.6KVol. 12 sept Esports

Howard vs. Indiana

Howard vs. Indiana 1% Yes No

Howard O/U 0.5 46% Yes No

78 more

$118.5KVol. 12 sept Sports

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton 24% Yes No

Completed Match 45% Yes No

$118.2KVol. 18 sept Tennis

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 45% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 48% Yes No

6 more

$109.2KVol. 11 sept Esports

Norfolk State vs. Virginia

Norfolk State vs. Virginia 1% Yes No

Spread -43.5 51% Yes No

124 more

$107.3KVol. 12 sept Sports

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?

26°C or below 1% Yes No

27°C 1% Yes No

$103.3KVol. 11 sept Weather

Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK

Beşiktaş JK 72% Yes No

Draw (Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK) 13% Yes No

$102.3KVol. 11 sept Sports

Shanghai: Ji-Sung Nam vs Luca Castelnuovo

Shanghai: Ji-Sung Nam vs Luca Castelnuovo 1% Yes No

Completed Match 90% Yes No

14 more

$99.8KVol. 18 sept Tennis

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs

Map 1 Winner 48% Yes No

Map 2 Winner 43% Yes No

7 more

$99.1KVol. 11 sept Esports

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?

20°C or below 1% Yes No

21°C 1% Yes No

$97.6KVol. 11 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?

25°C or below 1% Yes No

26°C 1% Yes No

$97.0KVol. 11 sept Weather

Bitcoin price on September 11?

<70,000 1% Yes No

70,000-72,000 1% Yes No

$96.9KVol. 11 sept Bitcoin

Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?

25°C or below 1% Yes No

26°C 1% Yes No

$86.1KVol. 11 sept Weather

Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC - More Markets

Liverpool FC (-1.5) 39% Yes No

Fulham FC (-1.5) 4% Yes No

39 more

$82.8KVol. 12 sept Sports

Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers

Vissel Kōbe 39% Yes No

Draw (Vissel Kōbe vs. Kashima Antlers) 27% Yes No