Featured markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Main Election·Israel Election·Politics

Benjamin Netanyahu

48%

Naftali Bennett

Gadi Eizenkot

33%

Avigdor Lieberman

Jooba

So if I bet on BIBI and the other dude I automatically win unless there is no prime minister elected in 14 months ie December 2027?! How are whales not all over this bringing the odds to 100%?

Tytan1

BIG YAHOOOO

andreemrtt

FUCK BIBI NETANYAHU

Gabriell11

Benjamin Netanyahu Yechi

tetrose

Bibi turned me poor, Israel Katz will make me rich

Jooba

What am I missing here I can bet on Bibi and the other dude and I will automatically win?

KeithStarmer

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If this happens you lose

skibidiret3rd

you realize this is in like 14 months right

Jooba

So if I bet on BIBI and the other dude I automatically win unless there is no prime minister elected in 14 months ie December 2027?! How are whales not all over this bringing the odds to 100%?

Tytan1

BIG YAHOOOO

andreemrtt

FUCK BIBI NETANYAHU

Gabriell11

Benjamin Netanyahu Yechi

tetrose

Bibi turned me poor, Israel Katz will make me rich

Jooba

What am I missing here I can bet on Bibi and the other dude and I will automatically win?

KeithStarmer

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If this happens you lose

skibidiret3rd

you realize this is in like 14 months right

Jooba

So if I bet on BIBI and the other dude I automatically win unless there is no prime minister elected in 14 months ie December 2027?! How are whales not all over this bringing the odds to 100%?

Tytan1

BIG YAHOOOO

andreemrtt

FUCK BIBI NETANYAHU

Gabriell11

Benjamin Netanyahu Yechi

tetrose

Bibi turned me poor, Israel Katz will make me rich

Jooba

What am I missing here I can bet on Bibi and the other dude and I will automatically win?

KeithStarmer

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If this happens you lose

skibidiret3rd

you realize this is in like 14 months right

Benjamin Netanyahu45%

Naftali Bennett5%

Gadi Eizenkot33%

Avigdor Lieberman2%

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Sports·World Series·MLB

Tampa Bay Rays

Milwaukee Brewers

91%

Sony1234

I'm skeptical of a guaranteed championship narrative

dcsvft546e

The underdog only needs a timely streak

Benjimick

Ai bot

LongJohnson

One bad inning can erase a favorite

Benjimick

Bad bot

46653754856454

October pitching could decide the whole thing

Roududou

I'm watching which rotation stays healthy

firrru

A hot lineup can ruin everyone's bracket

Sony1234

I'm skeptical of a guaranteed championship narrative

dcsvft546e

The underdog only needs a timely streak

Benjimick

Ai bot

LongJohnson

One bad inning can erase a favorite

Benjimick

Bad bot

46653754856454

October pitching could decide the whole thing

Roududou

I'm watching which rotation stays healthy

firrru

A hot lineup can ruin everyone's bracket

Sony1234

I'm skeptical of a guaranteed championship narrative

dcsvft546e

The underdog only needs a timely streak

Benjimick

Ai bot

LongJohnson

One bad inning can erase a favorite

Benjimick

Bad bot

46653754856454

October pitching could decide the whole thing

Roududou

I'm watching which rotation stays healthy

firrru

A hot lineup can ruin everyone's bracket

Tampa Bay Rays9%

Milwaukee Brewers91%

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Senate·Parent For Derivative·United States

Democratic Party

67%

Republican Party

34%

paddaa

everything is a 50/50 because it either happens or it doesn't

0xc19AC10345e01A3C26a242B30064c17C3f6866f9-1771234204652

🤣

0x7448e1c0cb8f38554e022Ab4D1FF32f4ABfBCA8d-1771494489341

So - in a two horse rate between me and Usain Bolt - who you got?

InsderEpstien

🤡

paddaa

33.3/33.3/33.3 because you could both hurt yourself and not make it to finish line, which adds another outcome which will either happen or not

masnjr

this is my quant

prediqtor

nga he's obviously trolling

vlnvndthkvlt

If you calculated your everyday behavior based on that logic, you'd never do anything and probably die.

paddaa

everything is a 50/50 because it either happens or it doesn't

0xc19AC10345e01A3C26a242B30064c17C3f6866f9-1771234204652

🤣

0x7448e1c0cb8f38554e022Ab4D1FF32f4ABfBCA8d-1771494489341

So - in a two horse rate between me and Usain Bolt - who you got?

InsderEpstien

🤡

paddaa

33.3/33.3/33.3 because you could both hurt yourself and not make it to finish line, which adds another outcome which will either happen or not

masnjr

this is my quant

prediqtor

nga he's obviously trolling

vlnvndthkvlt

If you calculated your everyday behavior based on that logic, you'd never do anything and probably die.

paddaa

everything is a 50/50 because it either happens or it doesn't

0xc19AC10345e01A3C26a242B30064c17C3f6866f9-1771234204652

🤣

0x7448e1c0cb8f38554e022Ab4D1FF32f4ABfBCA8d-1771494489341

So - in a two horse rate between me and Usain Bolt - who you got?

InsderEpstien

🤡

paddaa

33.3/33.3/33.3 because you could both hurt yourself and not make it to finish line, which adds another outcome which will either happen or not

masnjr

this is my quant

prediqtor

nga he's obviously trolling

vlnvndthkvlt

If you calculated your everyday behavior based on that logic, you'd never do anything and probably die.

Democratic Party67%

Republican Party34%

Fed Decision in October?

Fed·fomc·Trump

50+ bps decrease

<1%

No change

95%

25 bps increase

50+ bps increase

<1%

HelloWorld2024

Should I sell?

Yerlan69

how many hours left?

nolifeloserX

If there is a hike I will hang myself i have a lot on gold

Viprox

25bps hike tomorrow is likely.

Viprox

or any hike for that matter.

alpaje

So I did bets on all last 3 previous Fed rate markets at around %25, I lost 3 in a row so if actually in prediction markets something that has %25 chance of happening actually happens in %25 of the time, then it has to be due at some point

toosensitive

wikipedia. org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

Juliano.b

Fala pessoal! vai ser "sem alterações" mesmo? Alguem com certeza?

HelloWorld2024

Should I sell?

Yerlan69

how many hours left?

nolifeloserX

If there is a hike I will hang myself i have a lot on gold

Viprox

25bps hike tomorrow is likely.

Viprox

or any hike for that matter.

alpaje

toosensitive

wikipedia. org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

Juliano.b

Fala pessoal! vai ser "sem alterações" mesmo? Alguem com certeza?

HelloWorld2024

Should I sell?

Yerlan69

how many hours left?

nolifeloserX

If there is a hike I will hang myself i have a lot on gold

Viprox

25bps hike tomorrow is likely.

Viprox

or any hike for that matter.

alpaje

toosensitive

wikipedia. org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

Juliano.b

Fala pessoal! vai ser "sem alterações" mesmo? Alguem com certeza?

50+ bps decrease<1%

No change95%

25 bps increase5%

50+ bps increase<1%

Anthropic IPO by __?

Finance·IPO·Anthropic IPO

December 31, 2026

November 30, 2026

December 15, 2026

November 25, 2026

December 31, 202695%

November 30, 202688%

December 15, 202693%

November 25, 202686%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran·Trump·Israel

October 31

November 15

November 8

October 28

adasol

Iran denies new Qatar proposal to end hostilities with US, calls Doha’s ideas unacceptable - Reuters

Mohammad1225

Now someone tell me if there will be another war or not.

Viprox

No.

Viprox

Remember November 1 isn't listed.

hivemindilan

Yeah i have a feeling they are gonna fuck all of us and start the night between the 31 and the 1st.

Viprox

They are going to start the war before Mid-Term elections and after Israel elections.

SIMOMEGA

Nop

adasol

Qatar says Iran must stop threats and reopen Hormuz for mediation to succeed Iran must show good intentions, stop threatening Arab states and reopen the Strait of Hormuz for mediation efforts to succeed, the Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesp

adasol

Iran denies new Qatar proposal to end hostilities with US, calls Doha’s ideas unacceptable - Reuters

Mohammad1225

Now someone tell me if there will be another war or not.

Viprox

No.

Viprox

Remember November 1 isn't listed.

hivemindilan

Yeah i have a feeling they are gonna fuck all of us and start the night between the 31 and the 1st.

Viprox

They are going to start the war before Mid-Term elections and after Israel elections.